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LOUISVILLE, KY, Thursday 8/11/2005 – For the third week in a row,
users of the Genscape Gas Burn Report were able to predict more accurately
the change in the amount of natural gas added to storage as reported by
the Energy Information Administration.
Market expectations were for a gas injection, or increase of storage,
of about 49 billion cubic feet. The EIA reported an actual injection of
43 BCF. The EIA weekly report is one of the most important information
releases for the natural gas market, and the discrepancy between expectation
and actual injection has helped support current high gas prices.
The Genscape Gas Burn Report is a daily measurement of the total amount
of natural gas consumed regionally and nationally for electric power generation.
Genscape data has been showing actual power plant gas consumption figures
well above estimates based on traditional market indicators. Higher consumption
of gas for power generation leads to lower storage injections as less
gas is left over to be added to storage for use in the winter months.
“Our clients are telling us that our data significantly improved
their predictions of this weeks’ EIA storage number” said
Mike McAuliffe, Vice President of Sales at Genscape. “The value
of Genscape data is its ability to provide specific information about
measured gas consumption. Just knowing total generation is not enough
to understand gas dynamics in this market.”
Last week, the discrepancy between market expectations and EIA reported
storage injections was even more pronounced. Users of the Genscape Gas
Burn Report were able to predict more accurately the storage number and
avoid the expensive surprise of a lower-than-expected injection.
The Genscape Daily Gas Burn Report was first released to the general
market in early July. The gas burn estimate is based on real-time, direct
measurements of power generation and power flows across the United States
and Canada. Genscape monitors electricity flows at more than 1,200 points
across the United States.
ABOUT GENSCAPE
Genscape’s information gathering and distribution system consists
of technology to monitor the real-time power output of power plants and
load on high-voltage transmission lines. Information reported to customers
includes highly accurate estimates of the real-time power output for generating
facilities, power flows over strategic transmission paths, and associated
information.
Genscape Inc. is the only company to have commercialized the provision
of real-time power supply information to support decision-making for energy
traders, power plant and line owners and operators, regulators, and other
energy market participants. Genscape maintains operations in the United
States and Europe, and is one of the fastest-growing providers of information
to world energy markets.
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