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Most detailed, comprehensive oil production forecast across the significant oil producing regions in Canada

A bottom up approach that includes well, project and upgrader level production data aggregated by region, crude quality and adjusted weekly to the forward curve

Genscape’s Canadian Crude Oil Production Forecast uses a highly detailed bottom-up approach that examines the most significant oil producing areas in Canada providing a detailed production forecast and analysis.

Genscape's approach includes detailed well and project-level production data from major oil producing areas in Canada, including unconventional/conventional oil production, oil sands in-situ project and upgrader level analysis. Likewise, the forecast is stacked against pipeline takeaway capacity, pipeline production receipts and rail transport to give a detailed analysis of how the crude is getting to market.

This macro view of crude production focuses on the oil sands and offers a detailed forecast for the top producing In-Situ Oil Sands projects and upgraders in Western Canada. This includes specific forecasts for Synthetic Crude Oil (SCO), Marketable Crude Bitumen, Conventional Heavy/ Light+Medium and Condensate production. The forecast also incorporates current financial information a detailed analysis of impacts of planned maintenance, project specific issues, cyclical movements and new project permits on future production.

Canadian Crude Oil Production Forecast includes highly accurate production data
Genscape’s Canada Crude Production Forecast for oil includes highly accurate production data at the upgrader, provincial, and project level

 

PRODUCT OVERVIEW

Delivery: Emailed PDF & Excel files

Frequency

  • Every 6 weeks: Five year forecasting report including the corresponding excel data sheet
  • Weekly: Updated report with price & rig effect on Western Canada non-bitumen forecast
  • Weekly: Rig breakout examining weekly changes in the major benchmark rig counts

Locations: Canada

Subscribe: Call 866 292 8060

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Understand Genscape's expectations for U.S. & Canadian Crude Oil Production & Rig Counts in 2016

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Canadian Crude Oil Production Forecasts clients receive:

  • Every 6 weeks: Five year forecast report including the corresponding excel data sheet
    • Dynamic view of public data that incorporates well and project-level details and changes along with an analysis of how the forecast relates to current transportation constraints
    • Detailed project-level analysis of the largest producing oil sands projects
    • Historical producer trends and scheduled maintenance incorporated in forecasting models
    • Forecast includes projects' efficiency measures (Steam-to-Oil ratios) with expectations regarding upgrading crude bitumen conversion performance
  • Weekly: Updated report and data file with price and rig effect on Western Canada non-bitumen forecast
  • Weekly: Rig Breakout examining weekly changes benchmark rig counts
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Free White Paper: Understand the Market Impacts of the Well Completion Deferral Trend

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Genscape's Canadian Crude Oil Production Forecast clients: 

  • Get the most detailed and up-to-date data available, which is easily accessible and synthesized into a single report
  • Make efficient, smart decisions with a report that's compiled and analyzed on the growing Canadian crude oil market
  • Confirm in-house analysis and bridge any gaps within production models
  • Enjoy unlimited, real-time access to forecast team
 
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Understand Genscape's expectations for U.S. & Canadian Crude Oil Production & Rig Counts in 2016

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Report Methodology & Considerations

Methodology: This report incorporates provincial well level data along with oil sands in-situ project and upgrader level data to provide the most accurate and detailed driven supply forecast report on the market.

Genscape's forecast:

  • Provides a "bottom-up" analysis and forecast using data covering thousands of individual wells
  • Adjusts weekly to the forward curve and indexes to pricing
  • Breaks out crude quality including crude bitumen, heavy, light + medium, condensate and synthetic crude oil production 
  • Offers in-situ project level analysis using new permitted production, recent financial information and efficiency gains to provide a highly accurate forecast
  • Incorporates upgrader level analysis including adjustments for scheduled maintenance and turnaround time
  • Includes a macro-analysis of transportation and storage in Canada including pipeline capacity, pipeline transfers and rail exports
  • Discusses key risk factors effecting production outlook
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Free White Paper: Understand the Market Impacts of the Well Completion Deferral Trend