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Most detailed, accurate 5-year U.S. crude oil production forecast in the industry

“Bottom Up” analysis using proprietary data from 20,000+ individual wells, aggregated by basin and crude quality and adjusted weekly to forward curve

Genscape’s U.S. Crude Oil Production Forecast uses a highly detailed bottom-up approach that examines the 50+ regional producing areas in the U.S., providing a detailed production forecast on a monthly and daily basis.

The forecast includes state well level data from major oil producing areas, a price-adjusted rig forecast and Genscape’s proprietary monitoring capabilities to produce the most detailed and accurate U.S. production forecast on the market.

This macro view of crude production gives the ability to focus in on regional production differences and includes specific forecasts by quality (heavy, intermediate, light and condensate forecast). The forecast also incorporates current pipeline flow and rail movements to give a highly accurate weekly forecast update of current production from the Permian, Bakken, Gulf Coast and Gulf of Mexico. 

U.S. Crude Oil Production Forecast

PRODUCT OVERVIEW

Delivery: PDFs & Excel files

Frequency: 

  • Every 6 Weeks: 5 year production forecast
  • Quarterly: Earnings conference call notes
  • Monthly: EIA Comparison Report
  • Weekly: Rig Analysis Report detailing rig activity
  • Weekly: Price & rig change effect on production forecast report
  • Weekly: U.S. Crude Oil Production & Pipe Flow Analysis Report

Locations: United States

Subscribe: Call 866 292 8060

U.S. Crude Oil Production Forecast

Learn the Unique Challenges U.S. Refiners Would Face in Each Region

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The U.S. Crude Oil Production Forecast features:

U.S. Crude Oil Production Forecast

  • Every 6 weeks: Five year forecast report including the corresponding excel data sheet
    • Forecast integrates current forward oil and gas prices with rig counts allowing price signals to flow through the models for quick adjustments to the forecasts based on market changes 
    • Forecast includes detailed analysis of changes in rig and well efficiencies and commentary from producers on how this is actualizing in each region
    • Dynamic view of public data that incorporates price, rig and well assumptions providing quick updates with new information weekly
    • Detailed project-level analysis of the largest producing oil sands projects
  • Monthly: EIA Monthly Comparison Report compares EIA monthly crude data to Genscape’s forecast 
  • Quarterly: Conference Call notes from major oil/gas producers in the U.S.
  • Weekly: U.S. Crude Oil Production and Pipe Flow Analysis Report contains daily pipeline production flow estimates for the Bakken, Alaska, Permian and Gulf of Mexico
  • Weekly: Rig Analysis Report detailing rig activity in the U.S. for the week 
  • Weekly: Updated report and data file with price and rig effect on the U.S. production forecast
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Free White Paper: Understand the Market Impacts of the Well Completion Deferral Trend

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Benefits of the U.S. Crude Oil Production Forecast:

  • Get the most detailed and up-to-date data available which is easily accessible and synthesized into a single report
  • Make efficient, smart decisions with a report that's compiled and analyzed on the growing U.S. crude oil market
  • Accurate production forecasts will provide primary insight into supply/demand (storage) balances and resulting market prices 
  • Confirm in-house analysis and bridge any gaps within production models
  • Enjoy unlimited, real-time access to forecast team
 
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Understand Genscape's expectations for U.S. & Canadian Crude Oil Production & Rig Counts in 2016

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Report Methodology & Considerations

Methodology: Genscape's in-the-field monitors provide exceptional accuracy and advance notice of market fundamentals. Our analysts combine this data with our highly accurate real-time production data, tie it to current prices, and deliver a 5-year production forecast every six weeks. The report provides data aggregated by basin (Permian, Bakken, Utica, Eagle Ford, and Niobrara) and by crude quality (heavy, intermediate, light, and condensate).

 Genscape's forecast:

  • Provides a "bottom-up" analysis and forecast using data covering thousands of individual wells
  • Forecast integrates current forward oil and gas prices with rig counts allowing price signals to flow through the models for quick adjustments to the forecasts based on market changes 
  • Breaks out crude quality including crude quality (heavy, intermediate, light, and condensate).
  • Incorporates Genscape’s proprietary real-time data to keep our forecast the most current on the market 
  • Discusses key risk factors effecting production outlook
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Understand Genscape's expectations for U.S. & Canadian Crude Oil Production & Rig Counts in 2016